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The Eurogroup met on June 13th to discuss the deepening of the economic and monetary union EMU and prepare the discussions for the Euro Summit. From the meeting came two main deliverables: an agreement over a budgetary instrument for competitiveness and convergence and the reform of the European Stability Mechanism ESM treaty texts. Bruegel senior fellow Zsolt Darvas talks to Sean Gibson in this Deep Focus podcast about how the EU can improve its cohesion policy, citing the best examples of its implementation and stressing the methodological difficulties in measuring its effectiveness.
It has triggered responses focusing on the implications of output gaps for fiscal policy under EU rules, especially for Italy. But the debate about the reliability of output-gap estimates is more wide-ranging. Their analysis is based on a literature survey, an econometric analysis and interviews with stakeholders.
About two dozen project characteristics are considered, and their association with economic growth is studied using a novel methodology. Based on the findings, the study concludes with recommendations for cohesion policy reform. Longer-term yields falling below shorter-term yields have historically preceded recessions. Last week, the US year yield was 21 basis points below the 3-month yield, a feat last seen during the summer of Is the current yield curve a trustworthy barometer for future growth? Economic growth was diverse across EU regions, yet it is crucial to control for region-specific factors in assessing growth performance.
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Republishing and referencing Bruegel considers itself a public good and takes no institutional standpoint. Economic Blogs Review growth Macroeconomics. Read about event More on this topic.
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Improving regulatory policy formulation and institutional resilience in Europe Are large differences in the resilience of individual economies related to differences in the quality of country-level institutions that shape the absorption and response to these shocks? Read article More on this topic. Upbeat outlook from Chinese banks' profits masks growing problems for small banks The performance of Chinese banks has been resilient so far, despite decelerating growth.
Russian economy at the crossroads: how to boost long-term growth? EU policy recommendations: A stronger legal framework is not enough to foster national compliance In , the EU introduced stricter rules to monitor the implementation of country-specific policy recommendations. By: Konstantinos Efstathiou and Guntram B.
Read article More by this author. Late last year, on the day that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released its starkest warning yet on the importance of holding global heating below 1. Nordhaus is famous for applying conventional economic models to environmental issues.
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Using his toolkit on climate breakdown, infamously he came to the conclusion that an optimal economic approach would allow warming of at least 3C — the level that climate science shows would cause catastrophic, irreversible change. For anyone outside economics that might seem bewildering, but the blase disregard of the economy being a wholly owned, and utterly dependent, subsidiary of the biosphere is perfectly symbolic.
Economics has a reputation for being dismal because it seems to delight in making itself confusing and inaccessible. Real progress, and better decision making, is hard to imagine without demystifying the discipline and breaking the singular grip of old school, neoclassical teaching. In it we ask some heretical questions that that could get us expelled from most university economics departments, such as: is the price mechanism so clever, or rising productivity always a good thing?
We talk about the trouble with growth, and why working less might be better. Our common starting point is that the economy should serve rather than dominate people, and that it must work within planetary ecological boundaries. Roasted by heatwaves, this year the world went into ecological overshoot on 29 July, the earliest yet.